Name: Kevin Warsh Gives Three Reasons Behind Bond-Price Increase
Uploaded: 2026-09-16T19:31:00Z
Duration: 1 min 52 s
Description: Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said economic strength, competition for capital and geopolitics are the leading explanations for rising bond yields.

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Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said economic strength, competition for capital and geopolitics are the leading explanations for rising bond yields. Photo: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

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Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said economic strength, competition for capital and geopolitics are the leading explanations for rising bond yields.

Kevin Warsh Gives Three Reasons Behind Bond-Price Increase

Longer term bond yields are up quite a bit over the last few months, especially the last few weeks. What do you believe the bond market is telling you, especially about the growth outlook, the neutral rate, and what are the implications for monetary policy?

Yeah, let me speak to the history, what bond market prices do prospectively. I wanna let them tell me any story they wish to. I wanna try to interrogate that. But why did yields rise, let's say since the last FOMC meeting till this? I'll give you three reasons, but I would say these things tend to be over-determined. This is a complicated set of things that are affecting the most important asset anywhere in the world, the 10-year treasury. It's the risk-free asset upon which every price of virtually every asset in the world is related to. So I'll say three things. First is economic strength. I think part of the reason why we've seen over the course of 2026 long-term yields go up is the economy has strengthened. Second reason, competition for capital. The surge in capital expenditures, which I referenced in my remarks, is real and the so-called hyper scalers are out of the market raising funding, and so the competition for capital is real, and I think it partly explains the increase in yields. The third is geopolitics. The situation hotspots around the world are driving long-term yields. It's not simply spot prices of energy or spot prices for corn or soybeans or wheat, but it's the difference between those spot prices and so-called crack spreads, what that means for products that find their way into stores across the country. I think those are the three leading explanations, but certainly not an exclusive list.