Name: Powell Highlights State of the Economy, Labor Market at Jackson Hole Speech
Uploaded: 2025-08-22T15:12:00Z
Duration: 2 min 30 s
Description: During his annual speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., Fed Chair Jerome Powell discussed the potential for the central bank to cut interest rates.

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During his annual speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., Fed Chair Jerome Powell discussed the potential for the central bank to cut interest rates. Photo: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

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During his annual speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., Fed Chair Jerome Powell discussed the potential for the central bank to cut interest rates.

Powell Highlights State of the Economy, Labor Market at Jackson Hole Speech

When I appeared at this podium one year ago, the economy was at an inflection point. Our policy rate had stood at five point a quarter to 5.5% for more than a year. That restrictive policy stance was appropriate to help bring down inflation and to foster a sustainable balance between aggregate demand and supply. This year, the economy has faced new challenges. Significantly higher tariffs across our trading partners are remaking the global trading system. Tighter immigration policy has led to an abrupt slowdown in labor force growth. Over the longer run, changes in tax, spending and regulatory policies may also have important implications for economic growth and productivity. There is significant uncertainty about where all of these policies will eventually settle and what their lasting effects on the economy will be. While the labor market appears to be imbalance, it is a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers. This unusual situation suggests that downside risks to employment are rising, and if those risks materialize, they can do so quickly in the form of sharply higher layoffs and rising unemployment. Of course, we cannot take this stability of inflation expectations for granted. Come what may, we will not allow a one-time increase in the price level to become an ongoing inflation problem. So putting the pieces together. What are the implications for monetary policy? In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside and risks to employment to the downside. A challenging situation. When our goals are intention like this, our framework calls for us to balance both sides of our dual mandate. Our policy rate is now a hundred basis points closer to neutral than it was a year ago, and the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance. Nonetheless, with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance. Monetary policy is not on a preset course. FOMC members will make these decisions based solely on their assessment of the data and its implications for the economic outlook and the balance of risks. We will never deviate from that approach.

Powell Highlights State of the Economy, Labor Market at Jackson Hole Speech

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