Name: Oil Prices Remain Steady as Summer Comes to an End - Can It Last?
Uploaded: 2025-09-08T14:48:00Z
Duration: 2 min 38 s
Description: It’s the end of the strongest oil demand season of the year, and Denton Cinquegranna, Chief Oil Analyst at OPIS, joins Barron’s Laura Sanicola to discuss the current state of oil markets.

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It’s the end of the strongest oil demand season of the year, and Denton Cinquegranna, Chief Oil Analyst at OPIS, joins Barron’s Laura Sanicola to discuss the current state of oil markets.

https://m.wsj.net/video/20250908/6194889c-307d-4494-bbd1-8596785ce179/1/hls/manifest-hd-wifi.m3u8

Oil Prices Remain Steady as Summer Comes to an End - Can It Last?

Hi, everyone, this is Laura Sanicola, author of "Barron's Energy Insider," and I'm here today with Denton Cinquegranna, Chief Oil Analyst at Opus. Denton, thanks for joining me.

Hey, Laura, how are you?

Good. So, let's talk oil. You know, it's finally the end of summer, the end of the strongest oil demand season of the year, and markets are shaping up to be a little bit tighter than expected. What is behind some of that strength? And, you know, I should say it's not that strong. You know, we're still range band in the mid 60s, but given the supply surplus forecast, I think many people thought prices would be a little softer. What's going on?

Yeah, low to mid 60s right now, we're only a couple days into September, so, a lock and change obviously be now in the end of the month. But I think some of that surplus, that oil global surplus, hasn't quite yet materialized the way it was anticipated. Some of the timelines getting moved out, maybe to, like the fourth quarter, or late in the third quarter, which again, we are getting late into the third quarter. But, you know, getting pushed out a little bit later into the year. Refined products, you know, with the start of the September, have been pretty strong. Part of the reason for oil strength, at least domestically, or at least holding on, I should say, domestically, is that refiners have been running at a pretty high rate. Now, granted over the next several weeks, they'll start to go into fall maintenance, so that'll really kind of put dig into crude oil demand. But refinery runs have been relatively strong. Turning to the refined product side, gasoline inventories in the United States, according to the EIA, have dropped in each of the past seven weeks. So I think that's keeping gasoline a little bit elevated. We're kind of running just a little bit below the five-year average, but not drastically so. And again, like you mentioned, the summer driving season's over, so we should start to see some lower weekly demand estimates from the EIA as well. But, you know, gasoline inventory is dropping, exports still pretty strong, so there is demand for US molecules, that's for sure. Diesel, we're still at a deficit to the five-year average. And we are moving into that time of year where, in the Midwest, you have the harvest coming up over the next several weeks and then into October, et cetera. And then, obviously, heating season comes around. So a little bit of a potentially strong suit, certainly seasonally for diesel. Gasoline seems like it's holding on a little bit longer than you might anticipate.

Alright, thanks so much for breaking it down, and thanks everyone for joining. We'll see you next week.