Name: The Future of Coal Under the Trump Administration
Uploaded: 2025-10-06T20:14:00Z
Duration: 4 min 1 s
Description: Barron’s Laura Sanicola discusses the Trump administration’s plan for expanding coal plants with Charles Dayton, associate director of research and analysis at OPIS.

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Barron’s Laura Sanicola discusses the Trump administration’s plan for expanding coal plants with Charles Dayton, associate director of research and analysis at OPIS.

https://m.wsj.net/video/20251006/e0ff4090-97e8-43d1-b083-c1cb42a0eb4e/1/hls/manifest-hd-wifi.m3u8

The Future of Coal Under the Trump Administration

Hi, everyone. This is Laura Sanicola, author of Barron's Energy Insider, and I'm here this week with Charles Dayton, Associate Director of Research and Analysis at OPIS. Charles, thanks for joining us this week.

Thanks for having me, Laura.

Yeah, so let's just dive into it. The Trump administration is intending to expand coal leasing and further fund coal plant upgrades. You know, we've heard trickles of news like this all year. What do we know of his latest plan? What does it mean for U.S. coal producers?

Sure, and, yeah, we understand kind of, you know, where the administration is coming from, right? We've all seen our electric bills and how AI is driving up electric prices. I think I did the math this morning and since 2020, electricity costs are up about 63% more than total inflation, so there's clearly an issue there, and kind of this all of the above approach is the way they're trying to handle it. To your point, one of the solutions to that they see is opening up over 13 million acres of federal land for coal mining, for potential coal leases. While this is good, in theory, coal companies already have quite a bit of coal reserves. If you look at the average of the publicly traded companies, it's somewhere over 10 years of Powder River Basin where this would all take place; coal reserves already kind of in the ground waiting to be mined. So coal companies are much more concerned about: What does this look like 10 years out? You know, do I want to make this big purchase of a coal mining lease because of something 10 years from now? And that's really hard to do when your administration potentially is out of here in three years. So that's the big issue kind of the coal companies are wrestling with. There've been a couple of other things that the administration has offered as well. For example, they offered a large loan to the Port of Longview, which is one of the west coast ports out there up in the Washington area, which should allow you to have a hedge, right? If you have problems with domestic coal, you can still export it. So this may give some kind of a little bit more comfort for some of them. But, you know, for now, again, the issue is that when you have over 10 years of reserves sitting in the ground, you're not really in a huge rush to pick up more coal reserves yet, if that makes sense.

Right. So is that why we haven't seen too many of the coal companies kind of move up on this news?

Yeah, they've been kind of quiet about all of it, haven't they? And, you know, again, that's probably part of the reason for it. The other part of this we saw is the very significant, I think it was $625 million that the administration is putting towards kind of the old power plants and things like that, that they announced here a few days ago. While that's a great step in the right direction, it's a substantial sum of money. I know you had my colleague, Andy Blumenfeld, on here a few weeks ago, and he pointed out that one plant for one month is costing somewhere in the order of just under $30 million to keep it running. When you look at 200 plants across the fleet, $600 million, while again, very generous, it doesn't seem like it goes as far as it may otherwise. So, you know, again, that's part of the issue. It's especially when you have these plants all planned for retirement at certain points, you run them, you maintain them, you've done everything kind of expecting a certain retirement date; it's very expensive to turn around and kind of keep this going longer, which is, you know, what we're running in here on the utility side. And so on the producer side, you're kind of seeing the same thing is that it's really hard to turn around this ship. It happens slowly and it's expensive, and, you know, this may be a good first step; I'm just not sure it's the last step yet.

All right, well thanks for that analysis, Charles, and thanks everyone for listening. We'll see you next week.