Name: The New Nuclear Frontier: Why Russia Is Sharing Arms With Belarus
Uploaded: 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z
Duration: 5 min 32 s
Description: Moscow is moving some of its nuclear arsenals into neighboring Belarus. WSJ investigates how this deployment elevates the risk to Europe.

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Moscow is moving some of its nuclear arsenals into neighboring Belarus. WSJ investigates how this deployment elevates the risk to Europe. Photo Illustration: Planet Labs PBC

https://m.wsj.net/video/20251202/3d60bfd9-8403-490a-808b-c3f691ef9820/1/hls/manifest-hd-wifi.m3u8

Moscow is moving some of its nuclear arsenals into neighboring Belarus. WSJ investigates how this deployment elevates the risk to Europe.

The New Nuclear Frontier: Why Russia Is Sharing Arms With Belarus

Narrator: This European country is supposed to be a non-nuclear state, yet over the last three years, it's been participating in nuclear exercises, operating dual capable arms like this SU-25 fighter jet, and providing Russia with a base to store its non-strategic arms. Moscow says it is deploying its nuclear arms in Belarus through a sharing agreement with Minsk, which could alter the balance of power in Europe and threaten global non-proliferation efforts. Once part of the Soviet Union, Belarus used to host strategic and tactical nuclear weapons as installations across its territory. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, newly independent Belarus, Ukraine and Kazakhstan signed the 1994 Budapest memorandum with Russia, the US and the UK.

Speaker: A treaty is now in force.

Narrator: Under this agreement, the former Soviet Republics committed to give up their nuclear arms in exchange for financial incentives and non-binding security assurances. Belarus's longstanding President Aleksandr Lukashenko was one of the signatories of the memorandum, but three decades later, Lukashenko says Russian nukes are back.

Narrator: Analysts say satellite images show preparations to host nuclear systems.

This is where we believe that the Russians have built, over the last couple of years, a nuclear weapons storage site. It includes a bunker as well as support facilities and command and control systems, and then of course, a multi-layered security perimeter as well as an armed guard entrance with a cover, which is sort of typical features of Russian nuclear weapons storage sites. But it's not the only thing. Most recently they've started producing this rail station here. Then the line will come here and it'll go out and meet the main rail system in Belarus. This is presumably for the transport of nuclear weapons, but also other systems, of course, that can go into this storage site. There's also a Western air base that houses a special kind of aircraft that Belarus has been showcasing as the one that was supposed to now get a nuclear mission as well.

Narrator: Moscow says deploying some of its arsenal in Belarus mirrors NATO's nuclear sharing agreement, according to which the US deploys nuclear weapons in several NATO countries that could fire the arms if the US authorized a strike, a setup Russia says it wants to copy.

NATO is different in the sense that it's more established, it's broader. It involves more nuclear weapons than the Russian Belarus arrangement, nor do we really know much about how the Russian control handover procedures and these types of arrangement would actually happen in practice.

Narrator: Analysts say that Russia has no strategic need to share its nuclear arms with Belarus. It already deploys warheads and ballistic missile systems in its Kaliningrad exclave, but experts with the Virginia based think tank CNA say the increase in number of such systems in very close proximity to the EU's borders would complicate NATO's defenses. At present, France and the UK are the only European countries with independent nuclear programs. But doubts about Washington's commitment to Europe are driving countries like Poland and Germany to seriously contemplate acquiring nuclear weapons. Russia's moves to expand its nuclear footprint in Belarus comes as Washington and Moscow step up their saber rattling. In October, President Putin touted successful tests of two new long range nuclear capable and nuclear powered weapons.

There's no doubt they can cause a lot of devastation as all nuclear weapons can. But again, the question is does it rock the boat? It's important for the Russians to be able to demonstrate to the international public and the domestic public that they're doing something like this to be strong, but I don't think it's something that American nuclear planners are that worried about actually.

Narrator: In November, president Putin ordered his top security officials to draw up plans for potential nuclear weapons testing, following President Trump's promise to resume US tests. Both countries are signatories to a treaty that prohibits nuclear test explosions, though the US has never ratified it, and Russia withdrew its ratification in 2023.

The exchange between the United States and Russia about resuming nuclear testing is deeply troubling on many levels. If the United States resume nuclear tests and Russia follows, then there's no doubt that other countries around the world will begin to test as well. China for sure would begin. They have a lot to learn. India, Pakistan would be next in line for sure, and what that would do is then lead to sort of an escalation of the nuclear temperature and development of new nuclear weapons and more advanced nuclear weapons in those countries.

Narrator: Experts say the threats from both sides are for now largely political signaling, but as more countries consider gaining access to nuclear capabilities and tensions rise among major powers, the world is entering its most perilous moment since the end of the Cold War.

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