Name: Jerome Powell Delivers Final Speech at Jackson Hole
Uploaded: 2025-08-24T13:59:00Z
Duration: 6 min 19 s
Description: Journal Editorial Report: The Fed Chief signals rate cuts are coming.

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Journal Editorial Report: The Fed Chief signals rate cuts are coming. Photo: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg News

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Journal Editorial Report: The Fed Chief signals rate cuts are coming.

Jerome Powell Delivers Final Speech at Jackson Hole

This year, the economy has faced new challenges, significantly higher tariffs across our trading partners, are remaking the global trading system. Tighter immigration policy has led to an abrupt slowdown in labor force growth. Over the longer run, changes in tax, spending and regulatory policies may also have important implications for economic growth and productivity. There is significant uncertainty about where all of these policies will eventually settle and what their lasting effects on the economy will be.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, delivered his final speech to the Fed's Jackson Hole Monetary Policy Symposium, Friday as he continues to face intense pressure from President Trump. Now, the administration has also said it cites on Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, who faces allegations of mortgage fraud. Cook says she will not step down amid calls to resign. President Trump has long taken issue with Fed leadership. He claims it's holding the economy back by keeping interest rates high. But as we heard from Chairman Powell on Friday, he gave us the clearest signal yet that an interest rate cut is indeed coming when he said that the balance of risks in the economy had shifted. So, it does look, like we're gonna get that interest rate cut after all. Let's talk about all this now with our panel, Kim Strassel, Mary Anastasia O'Grady and Wall Street Journal Opinion Columnist Allysia Finley. Kim, let me start with you. The Fed chair speech did seem to indicate very strongly the likelihood of an interest rate cut in September, probably more to come. Has Jerome Powell surrendered to Donald Trump?

Yeah, I think it's really notable, Gerry, that he actually pointed out strenuously made the case that this would be due if there was a rate cut entirely to the economic circumstances on the ground. Now, look, there is good evidence out there and he cited some of it for why that might be a prudent course. His big concern has been rising inflation due to tariffs. He suggested that it hasn't been as bad as expected and at the same time, flipped the script to the alternate side of the coin, which is a slowing job market, which would maybe argue for a rate cut. So, he's got a good economic argument if that was the way he went. The problem, of course, is that he may be seen to be caving to Donald Trump and we don't know the extent to which that's in. He's tried very hard to not look as though he was in that position. Weirdly, you could make the argument that all the pressure that Donald Trump is putting on him, may have led him to make choices. Maybe, he wanted to cut rates sooner but didn't, because he didn't want to be seen to be caving to Donald Trump. But this is why political pressure in this realm is often problematic for economic policy.

Allysia Finley, as Kim says, he did say, Powell did say that the inflation threat that people feared had not quite materialized in the way that people had feared it would. And he did also say interestingly that while tariffs were likely to raise prices, that didn't necessarily mean, they were gonna push up inflation. 'Cause inflation is a year-over-year phenomenon. It could just be a one-time price rise. Does this indicate, do you think a more dovish Fed going forward? Are they really now looking to perhaps be much more conscious of the slowing of the economy?

Well, I think the balance of risks, as he suggested during his speech, has shifted toward the worries about higher or growing unemployment. What you see in the labor market over the last three months has definitely been a softening. There was only about 20,000 jobs created between May and June. And the latest unemployment rate, or unemployment report showed only 73,000 in July. And most of those were in social assistance and healthcare. There could be bigger revisions in the next months, or downward revisions for the previous months. So, they're definitely showing more concern. But I don't think we're completely out of the woods in terms of inflation. There's definitely some indications that inflation has proven stickier. And you can see that in the Producer Price Index, which increased at the highest rate in the last three years. And this isn't necessarily owing to Donald Trump's tariffs. It could be related to broader easing in the economy that we haven't necessarily pinned down yet. There doesn't seem to be a lack of liquidity in financial markets. And you definitely saw that when the stock soared on Friday after he suggested that there would be a rate cut in September.

Mary, market's now pricing in pretty well certainty of a rate cut, a quarter-point rate cut probably in September and another one later in the year. Something tells me that that's not gonna be quite enough for Donald Trump.

Well, first of all, I don't think that 25 in September is a surprise to anybody. I don't think it actually affected the markets. The markets sold off for most of this week and kind of recovered on Friday. But Jerome Powell made it very clear that the other 25 are still up in the air and it was a mildly dovish speech. But I think, as Allysia mentions, I mean you have this Producer Price number that came in really hot recently. And that means that wholesale prices are pushing up. That's something that Jerome Powell has to keep an eye on. Remember that he's the guy, who was running the Fed when we got this big inflation number that went at one point annualized over 11%.

Gerry: But it was transitory as they kept telling us.

Exactly.

So, yeah.

So, Jerome Powell cares a lot about his legacy and he's going to keep a close eye, I think, on that possibility that inflation might come back.

Kim, very quickly, Trump was sort of doubling down on his attacks on the Fed this week, calling for a Fed governor to resign over these allegations of fraud. He's got this critical period coming up now where he's gotta pick the next Fed chair. Is this gonna continue, you think, this pressure on the Fed from the president?

Yeah, unfortunately, I think I do. I think this was a really, really unfortunate episode too. I mean, if Lisa Cook's mortgage documents are problematic, do an investigation, do it quietly behind the scenes, bring charges if there's something wrong. But don't announce it on social media. But I think we're gonna see this continue.

WSJ Opinion: Jerome Powell Delivers Final Speech at Jackson Hole

From the award-winning opinion pages of The Wall Street Journal, the Journal Editorial Report sees columnists and members of the Journal Editorial Board debate the major economic, political and cultural issues of the day. 
From the policy debates to the political fights, each week get critical perspective and the analysis you need on developments from Washington.

WSJ Opinion: Jerome Powell Delivers Final Speech at Jackson Hole

WSJ Opinion: Journal Editorial Report

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